Peyton's Place in History
This article was inspired by a close friend, one whose NFL opinion I have the utmost respect for. Last week, while referring to Peyton Manning, he declared the following sentiment: “I think we’re witnessing the best ever.”
I digested his remark, while I demurred slightly with my reluctance to cast him as the “greatest” ever because of the advantageous nature of playing half his career in a dome, and contemplated it some more.
After further thought and a little research, I offer you my conclusion here.
This Sunday, in Super Bowl XLIV, Manning looks to capture his second championship. If successful, he’ll join a quarterback class of multiple Super Bowl winners: Bart Starr, Bob Griese, Roger Staubach, Terry Bradshaw, Jim Plunkett, Joe Montana, Troy Aikman, John Elway, Tom Brady, and Ben Roethlisberger.
Of course, holding multiple Super Bowl trophies doesn’t automatically grant a quarterback the title of “greatest of all time.” If it did, Joe Montana and Terry Bradshaw, who each possess four Lombardi Trophies, would already be awarded this honor. It is needed, however, as qualification for the conservation.
Regardless of the skills required to excel at the position, there are telling statistics that jump off the page when analyzing a quarterback. Since all quarterbacks are made differently, comparisons using the standard metrics of touchdowns and interceptions, or even yards thrown, are hopeless endeavors.
Instead, there are more indicative numbers that shall benefit our discussion.
To begin with, because I raised the issue of Peyton Manning’s home field advantage, it would stand to reason that we should assess the other half of his career, as well as other Super Bowl winning quarterbacks, on the road.
Here are the most notables.
The first number represents each quarterback’s road winning percentage, followed by their playoff road record, then finally the number of road championship games they’ve won:
Montana—0.747, 2-4, 1
Brady—0.683, 2-3, 2
Manning—0.635, 2-4, 0
Roethlisberger—0.605, 3-0, 1
Bradshaw—0.500, 2-3, 1
Aikman—0.469, 2-4, 1
Elway—0.461, 3-3, 2
According to this measure, Manning doesn’t even crack the top two, especially because he’s yet to win a road championship game (he’s 0-1). But these numbers do not tell the whole story.
There are also the quarterback ratings for the same group, both home and away, which in some cases provide evidence of successful play, regardless of the outcome.
They are as follows:
Home Away
Manning 89.9 112.6
Roethlisberger 98.2 103.2
Montana 76.2 90.2
Brady 109.2 81.7
Elway 118.1 65.2
Aikman 90.8 36.5
Bradshaw N/A N/A
Judging by these numbers, Manning not only successfully orchestrates his offense at home, he marches them down the field to a tune of 23 more points on the road.
But before we move on to the clinching statistic that will unveil our verdict, let’s appease those who desire the basics.
Out of our seven quarterbacks being scrutinized, for their careers, Manning’s thrown 66 more TDs than second place Elway, almost 10,000 more yards than second place Montana, holds a point and a half higher completion percentage (64.8) than the rest of the pack, and leads everyone in QB rating with a 95.2.
Nevertheless, the most convincing achievement is Manning’s ability to produce in the fourth quarter, both when trailing or tied.
Manning’s QB rating when his Colts are trailing is a 109.9; when tied it’s a 108.8. And although Joe Montana has the highest QB rating when his teams were tied (113.9), he had a 71.6 rating when they were trailing, which helps illustrate Manning’s worthiness.
What’s more, even John Elway, who had a knack for leading two-minute-drive comebacks, posted a career 84.2 when his Broncos were behind.
So in conclusion, it isn’t the fact that Peyton Manning can step up to the line, recognize the defense, and then call an appropriate play that makes him the leader at his position. It’s that he executes and embodies the entire essence of what a quarterback is: intelligence, accuracy, arm strength, devotion to chemistry with teammates, and of course, an understanding of the defense.
The Indianapolis Colts have won 12 games for seven consecutive seasons. Whether they’re behind, tied, on the road or in a dome, they can always turn to their general—Peyton Manning.
If he can seize his second Super Bowl on Sunday evening, he will become, at least for now, “the greatest of all time.”
Wednesday, February 3, 2010 at 10:08PM